Egg: Price Rebounds, Beware of a Flash in the Pan(Nov 2)
Egg: Price Rebounds, Beware of a Flash in the Pan
Egg Market Analysis
Today, egg price quotes in major production areas showed a clear upward trend. The average red egg price was 4.23 yuan/jin, and the average pink egg price was 4.21 yuan/jin, with the red-pink price spread narrowing to 0.02. The average price in major production areas was 4.22 yuan/jin, up 0.03 from the previous trading day. Currently, terminal procurement sentiment is warming up, restocking and procurement enthusiasm has recovered somewhat, market transactions are recovering, circulation channel shipments are relatively smooth, the overall market performance is firm, egg price gains are notable, and market sentiment has improved noticeably compared to earlier periods.
Egg Market Price
Egg Market Outlook
From the supply side, as temperatures decline, laying rates have seasonally recovered, further amplifying supply release. Recently, influenced by rising egg prices, farmers' enthusiasm for culling hens has weakened somewhat, with some enterprises adopting a wait-and-see attitude on extended rearing.
From the demand side, after the two holidays, consumption has entered the traditional off-season, and trader procurement pace has slowed. However, with improved storage conditions, the procurement sentiment of traders and food processing enterprises has recovered somewhat, with procurement pace improving compared to earlier periods, providing phased favorable support for egg prices.
Overall, supply-side inventory shows a slight increase with stable supply, while the demand side lacks concentrated drivers in the off-season. However, low temperatures extend egg storage time, and traders' inventory rotation operations provide some bottom support.
Egg Futures Trends
On November 2, the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) egg futures main contract 2612 opened at 3,450, with a high of 3,585, low of 3,431, settlement price of 3,535, up 133/3.88%. Trading volume was 653,933 lots, with open interest of 211,697 lots.
Egg Index Analysis
According to Cold Chain DuoDuo data calculations, on November 2, the domestic egg spot price index was 4.216, up 0.157 from the previous working day.
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