Egg Market Analysis: E-commerce Retreat Cools the Market(Nov 10)
Egg Market Analysis: E-commerce Retreat Cools the Market
Egg Market Analysis
Today, egg prices in major producing regions showed a weakening trend. The average price of red eggs was 4.13 yuan per jin, and the average price of pink eggs was 4.18 yuan per jin, with a price spread of 0.05 between red and pink eggs. The average price in major producing areas was 4.14 yuan per jin, down 0.07 from the previous trading day. The short-term support from e-commerce has faded, and the demand side lacks new positive drivers to take over. The supply-demand pattern is gradually shifting toward surplus. Today, the producing areas were generally weak, with many regions having room for price reductions, and bearish sentiment in the market has intensified. Only a few resilient regions maintained stable prices.
Egg Market Price
Egg Market Outlook
Supply Side
As temperatures decline, egg production rates are seasonally recovering. With egg prices continuing to fall, some farmers have lowered their expectations for the future market and are choosing to cull laying hens at market pace.
Demand Side
The Double Eleven centralized restocking cycle has concluded, and the pulling effect from e-commerce has noticeably weakened. Restocking willingness from supermarkets and the food service channel remains sluggish, with terminal demand showing little room for increment. Market trading sentiment is subdued, and regional sales performance varies significantly.
Overall Assessment
On the supply side, seasonal recovery in egg production rates, combined with some farmers lowering expectations and culling hens, means overall supply remains ample. On the demand side, the conclusion of Double Eleven restocking has weakened the e-commerce pull, with supermarket and food service restocking sluggish and terminal demand lacking incremental drivers. Overall, the supply-demand surplus pattern continues, and egg prices are expected to trend weakly in the short term.
Egg Futures Trend
On November 10, the main contract 2612 of egg futures on the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) opened at 3,452, with a high of 3,509, a low of 3,436, and a settlement price of 3,473, up 37 points or 1.07%. Trading volume was 453,887 lots, with open interest at 179,640 lots.
Egg Index Analysis
According to Cold Chain TDD data calculations, the domestic egg spot price index on November 10 was 4.165, down 0.038 from the previous working day.
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