The oil market may fall into serious supply problems next year

明年，石油和天然气市场将陷入严重的长期供应问题，但在此之前，每桶布伦特原油的典型价格可能超过100美元。

Next year, the oil and gas market will fall into serious long-term supply problems, but before that, the typical price of Brent crude oil per barrel may exceed $100.

参考库里的正确说法，亚洲需求的持续增长和一些国家对油气出口的限制将造成原油市场出现财政赤字。他预计财政赤字将在今年第二季度出现。作为回应，制造商将借助其闲置产能将其提高到低于以前的水平。最终，这将造成市场严重的供需平衡被打破。

With reference to Curry's correct statement, the continued growth of Asian demand and the restrictions on oil and gas exports imposed by some countries will lead to a fiscal deficit in the crude oil market. He predicted that the fiscal deficit would appear in the second quarter of this year. In response, manufacturers will use their idle capacity to raise them to lower levels than before. In the end, this will cause the serious balance between supply and demand in the market to be broken.

库里对彭博社表示：“目前，石油和天然气出口国的进出口贸易已经平衡，多达三分之一的产能提高，因为亚洲需求尚未恢复。”如果提高用完了？到2024年，这可能是一个更严重的问题，如何解决。”

Curry told Bloomberg: "At present, the import and export trade of oil and gas exporting countries has been balanced, and up to one-third of the production capacity has increased, because Asian demand has not recovered." If the increase is exhausted? By 2024, this may be a more serious problem. How to solve it? "

沙特阿拉伯能源大臣萨勒曼也对未来石油生产支出不足表示担忧。沙特阿拉伯能源大臣萨勒曼也对未来石油生产支出不足表示担忧。

Saudi Arabia's Energy Minister Salman also expressed concern about the insufficient expenditure on oil production in the future. Saudi Arabia's Energy Minister Salman also expressed concern about the insufficient expenditure on oil production in the future.

他说：“所有这些所谓的制裁、禁运、缺乏投资，都会演变成一件事，而且只有一件事——在最需要的时候缺乏各种能源供应。”

He said: "All these so-called sanctions, embargoes and lack of investment will evolve into one thing, and there is only one thing - the lack of various energy supplies when most needed."

今年到目前为止，布伦特原油的交易价格一直在75-80美元之间，但高盛和其他资产管理公司认为，油价将进一步上涨。根据库里的说法，到5月，石油市场将陷入赤字。

So far this year, the trading price of Brent crude oil has been between 75-80 dollars, but Goldman Sachs and other asset management companies believe that the oil price will rise further. According to Curry, the oil market will be in deficit by May.

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