As oil consumption rising, it is expected that the demand for oil will growth

May 29, 2024, 11:58 AM

TDDchem.com

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IEA d on the consumption data, predict that the demand for oil will increase globally this and next year. OPEC said that the growth of global oil demand is expected to remain unchanged, with a daily increase of 2.5 million barrels this year and 2.2 million barrels next year. However, OPEC warned: "As approaching the end of 2022, the recent slowdown in global economic growth and its far-reaching impact are becoming quite obvious. It is expected that there will still have many uncertainties in 2023, which requires vigilance and caution."

最近几周，印度和中东地区的石油消费量意外上升，国际能源署(IEA)据此预测今年和明年的全球石油需求将会增长。

In recent weeks, the oil consumption in India and the Middle East has risen unexpectedly, International Energy Agency (IEA) based on the consumption data, predict that the demand for oil will increase globally this and next year.

IEA在其12月石油市场报告中表示，尽管预计今年第四季度全球石油日需求量比2021年同期减少11万桶，但近期非经合组织地区的石油消费数据表明，需求比此前预期的更有弹性。

In its December oil market report, IEA said that although it is expected that the daily global oil demand in the fourth quarter of this year will decrease by 110000 barrels from the same period in 2021, the recent oil consumption data in non OECD regions show that the demand is more flexible than previously expected.

IEA目前预计，今年全球石油日需求量将增加230万桶，比11月报告预期的增幅每天高出14万桶。预计2023年全球石油日需求量将增加170万桶，比11月报告的估计平均每天上调了10万桶。IEA称，明年全球石油日需求量将达到1.016亿桶。

IEA currently estimate that the global oil demand will increase by 2.3 million barrels per day this year, 140000 barrels per day higher than the growth expected in the November report. It is estimated that the global oil demand will increase by 1.7 million barrels per day in 2023, an average increase of 100000 barrels per day compared with the estimate reported in November. IEA said that the global oil demand will reach 101.6 million barrels per day next year.

在供应方面，IEA估计11月份全球石油日供应量将减少19万桶至1.017亿桶，打破了持续五个月的上升趋势，这是因为沙特阿拉伯和其他海湾产油国减产。

In terms of supply, IEA estimates that the global oil supply will decrease by 190000 barrels to 101.7 million barrels per day in November, breaking the five month upward trend, because Saudi Arabia and other Gulf oil producing countries have reduced production.

欧佩克在周二公布的月度报告中，全球石油需求增长预估不变，预计今年和明年分别为日增250万桶和220万桶。但欧佩克警告称：“由于2022年接近尾声，近期全球经济增长放缓及其深远影响正变得相当明显。预计2023年仍将充满许多不确定性，需要保持警惕和谨慎。”

In the monthly report released by OPEC on Tuesday, the growth of global oil demand is expected to remain unchanged, with a daily increase of 2.5 million barrels this year and 2.2 million barrels next year. However, OPEC warned: "As approaching the end of 2022, the recent slowdown in global economic growth and its far-reaching impact are becoming quite obvious. It is expected that there will still have many uncertainties in 2023, which requires vigilance and caution."